Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.098058 0.113276 0.130074 0.149991 0.172967 0.198648 0.229541
2026-01-18 0.073768 0.094108 0.118855 0.151187 0.192345 0.243035 0.310295
2026-01-25 0.059312 0.081101 0.109475 0.149152 0.203261 0.274584 0.375949
2026-02-01 0.048544 0.070234 0.100087 0.144204 0.207844 0.296501 0.429765
2026-02-08 0.042603 0.064727 0.096673 0.146201 0.221208 0.330834 0.503824
2026-02-15 0.037579 0.059644 0.092901 0.146718 0.231846 0.361716 0.575762
2026-02-22 0.033821 0.055864 0.090410 0.148544 0.244226 0.396025 0.656359
2026-03-01 0.029719 0.050931 0.085397 0.145536 0.248219 0.417133 0.717671
2026-03-08 0.026393 0.046818 0.081145 0.143103 0.252592 0.438907 0.782022
2026-03-15 0.024199 0.044346 0.079300 0.144440 0.263348 0.472269 0.869734
2026-03-22 0.023112 0.043682 0.080470 0.151141 0.284188 0.525169 0.998040
2026-03-29 0.021789 0.042413 0.080375 0.155445 0.300990 0.572361 1.120811
2026-04-05 0.020422 0.040940 0.079813 0.158945 0.316948 0.620219 1.251526
2026-04-12 0.018908 0.039008 0.078172 0.160182 0.328689 0.661393 1.374198
2026-04-19 0.017195 0.036464 0.075036 0.158024 0.333302 0.688891 1.472102
2026-04-26 0.015372 0.033473 0.070659 0.152782 0.330889 0.701784 1.540771
2026-05-03 0.014444 0.032271 0.069829 0.154898 0.344203 0.748541 1.687155
2026-05-10 0.013467 0.030846 0.068362 0.155446 0.354118 0.789004 1.824142
2026-05-17 0.012696 0.029790 0.067571 0.157381 0.367280 0.837812 1.985365
2026-05-24 0.011608 0.027881 0.064679 0.154193 0.368353 0.859644 2.086413
2026-05-31 0.010670 0.026220 0.062172 0.151615 0.370540 0.884179 2.196557
2026-06-07 0.010084 0.025336 0.061378 0.153032 0.382426 0.932591 2.370249
2026-06-14 0.009893 0.025403 0.062845 0.160132 0.409008 1.018898 2.648159